Match Info

Copa Norte - Round 5

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)


	Nacional AM		Guaporé

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.9	4.33
				Watch
	1.55	3.82	4.87
	1.52	4.38	4.87	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.75
	1.53	4.15	4.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.58)	4.01 ↑ (3.9)	4.74 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional AM
58.3%

Draw
22.6%

Guaporé
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

22.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

20.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Guaporé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaporé than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Nacional AM - Guaporé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Nacional AM is Qualified for Copa Norte (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Nacional AM is the team to beat.

We predict that Nacional AM will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional AM
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Manauara - Nacional AM	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Nacional AM - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
15.04.26	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Nacional AM	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Nacional AM - Manaus	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
09.04.26	Nacional AM - Paysandu	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- Guaporé FC
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Guaporé - Porto Velho	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Guaporé - Humaitá	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
15.04.26	Guaporé - Trem	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Araguaína - Guaporé	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
09.04.26	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Guaporé	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTL

Nacional AM - Guaporé: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide