Match Info
Copa Norte - Play Offs - FinalDate: 28 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
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Nacional AM |
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Paysandu |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.3 |
2.95 |
2.87 |
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Watch |
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2.31 |
3.2 |
3.04 |
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4.76 |
3.69 |
1.65 |
Watch |
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2.63 |
2.8 |
2.63 |
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2.4 |
2.93 |
2.92 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(3.14) |
3.11 ↓
(3.2) |
2.62 ↑
(2.18) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nacional AM
33.1% | Draw
30.6% | Paysandu
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paysandu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nacional AM - Paysandu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 27', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 66', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 3, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional AM won 1.Recent performances by Nacional AM have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Paysandu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Nacional AM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Paysandu could have a small edge in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nacional AM won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Nacional AM won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Copa Norte | | | 20.05.26 | Paysandu - Nacional AM | 1:0 | | 09.04.26 | Nacional AM - Paysandu | 7:0 | | Brazilian Copa Verde | | | 20.08.19 | Paysandu - Nacional AM | 0:0 | | 07.08.19 | Nacional AM - Paysandu | 0:1 | | 22.03.15 | Nacional AM - Paysandu | 1:1 | | 07.03.15 | Paysandu - Nacional AM | 4:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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