Match Info
Copa Norte - Round 3Date: 9 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)
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Nacional AM |
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Paysandu |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
 |
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Watch |
 |
1.85 |
3.65 |
5 |
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1.03 |
12.16 |
25.00 |
Watch |
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1.67 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
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1.63 |
3.7 |
4.62 |
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2.32 |
3.3 |
2.92 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↓ (2.32) |
5.24 ↑ (3.3) |
8.41 ↑ (2.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nacional AM 65.5% | Draw 21.2% | Paysandu 13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional AM's performance.Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paysandu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-23.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional AM that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+17.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. bannerPredictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 8', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 20', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 53', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 57', 5 - 0, ⚽,
- 74', 6 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+5', 7 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.Nacional AM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Nacional AM is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nacional AM won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Nacional AM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Copa Verde | | | 20.08.19 | Paysandu - Nacional AM | 0:0 | | 07.08.19 | Nacional AM - Paysandu | 0:1 | | 22.03.15 | Nacional AM - Paysandu | 1:1 | | 07.03.15 | Paysandu - Nacional AM | 4:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;