The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos AP 32.8%
Draw 29%
Trem 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.3%
30.1%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
28.8%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos AP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Trem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos AP than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trem than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Santos AP - Trem Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos AP won 0.
Santos AP is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Trem is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Santos AP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santos AP won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Santos AP won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).