Match Info
Amapaense - Round 4Date: 26 February 2026, ThursdayLocation: Estádio Augusto Antunes (Santana)
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Trem |
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Independente |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.55 |
3.25 |
1.9 |
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 |
3.61 |
3.48 |
1.89 |
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 |
3.4 |
3.25 |
1.95 |
|
 |
3.76 |
3.55 |
1.92 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.58 ↑ (2.73) |
3.38 ↑ (3.33) |
1.92 ↓ (2.31) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Trem 25.5% | Draw 26.9% | Independente 47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trem's form might have worsened.Independente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independente's recent form is better than expected.Trem - Independente Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Independente (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Perema ⚽,
- 22', 🟥,
- 36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trem won 3.Trem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trem won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Trem won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense | | | 08.04.25 | Independente - Trem | 0:2 | | 11.03.24 | Independente - Trem | 1:0 | | 03.08.23 | Independente - Trem | 3:3 | | 27.07.23 | Trem - Independente | 2:0 | | 05.07.23 | Independente - Trem | 1:4 | | 25.07.22 | Trem - Independente | 2:1 penalties | | 21.07.22 | Independente - Trem | 2:2 |
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