Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Date: 14 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Nacional de Patos		Pacajus

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.9	2.9	4.15
	1.98	2.86	4
	1.88	2.88	4
	1.93	3.16	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.28)	2.98 ↓ (3.01)	3.95 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional de Patos
47%

Draw
30.2%

Pacajus
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional de Patos's performance.

Pacajus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pacajus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional de Patos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pacajus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional de Patos - Pacajus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Nacional de Patos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pacajus in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Nacional de Patos is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional de Patos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Pacajus - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Globo FC	2:1 ✺
01.06.23	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Nacional de Patos - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Nacional de Patos - Sousa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTW
- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Pacajus - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
08.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Pacajus	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Pacajus - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Pacajus - Globo FC	3:0 ✺
20.05.23	Iguatu - Pacajus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Pacajus - Nacional de Patos	1:0

Nacional de Patos - Pacajus

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Nacional de Patos - Pacajus Predictions

Preview

Form

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