Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Svealand - Round 26

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Nacka FC		Gute

	1	X	2
	1.74	4.26	3.34
	1.5	4.45	4.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.57)	4.36 ↑ (4.12)	4.09 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacka FC
56.6%

Draw
21%

Gute
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

21.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

18.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacka FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gute has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacka FC than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacka FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gute than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Nacka FC - Gute Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 3)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norra Svealand (Relegation)).

Gute is Division 2 ~ Norra Svealand (Relegation)

In recent matches, Nacka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gute's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nacka is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacka FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
11.10.25	Ytterhogdal - Nacka FC	5:4 ✺
05.10.25	Nacka FC - Järfälla	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Skiljebo - Nacka FC	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Nacka FC - Falu	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Österåker United - Nacka FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLW
- FC Gute
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
12.10.25	Gute - Sunnersta AIF	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Viggbyholm - Gute	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Gute - Kungsängen	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Bollstanäs - Gute	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Gute - Falu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
18.04.25	Gute - Nacka FC	0:5

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