Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Svealand - Round 24

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Nacka FC		Järfälla

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.5	2.22
	2.77	3.55	2.24
	1.96	3.91	3.16	Watch
	2.78	3.5	2.21
	2.16	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2)	3.59 ↓ (3.7)	2.52 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacka FC
37.3%

Draw
25.8%

Järfälla
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.7%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacka FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacka FC's form might have worsened.

Järfälla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Järfälla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacka FC than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacka FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Järfälla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nacka FC - Järfälla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Lohake A. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Bangus B. B. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', 🟥,
63', 2 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, ⚽,
84', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Järfälla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacka FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
27.09.25	Skiljebo - Nacka FC	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Nacka FC - Falu	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Österåker United - Nacka FC	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Nacka FC - Kungsängen	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	IK Franke - Nacka FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWT
- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
28.09.25	Järfälla - Viggbyholm	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Järfälla - Korsnäs	7:0 ✺
12.09.25	IK Franke - Järfälla	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Järfälla - Gute	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Falu - Järfälla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
14.06.25	Järfälla - Nacka FC	3:1

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