The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Naftan 17.7%
Draw 23.3%
Torpedo-BelAZ 59%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.8%
16.9%
66.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
16.5%
68.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo-BelAZ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo-BelAZ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Naftan - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Kharitonovich A. (C) 3. Kostomarov N. 5. Lebedev A. 42. Jonathan J. 97. Chernyavskiy V. 6. Adamovich K. 39. Fedorenko D. 9. Yakovlev V. 7. Gadzhiev S. 11. Pranovich I. 8. Latykhov D.
1. Ignatovich S. (G) 22. Baranok Z. 6. Premudrov K. (C) 13. Zaleskiy A. 19. Rutskiy I. 7. Bykov A. 2. Bamba M. 68. Zhulpa D. 30. Pobudey V. 89. Frantsuzov A. 10. Lisakovich V.
Substitutes
21. Gurbanov M. 25. Matvey S. 71. Naumovich A. (G) 24. Seleznev I. 70. Thioune S. 16. Titov A. (G)
16. Agbo G. 3. Chagovets Y. 14. Ladutko M. 20. Martyanov G. 99. Maslenikov M. (G) 96. Melko V. 90. Perovic N. 25. Yurasov T. (G)
Coaches
Stripejkis V.
Lentsevich D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
21', 0 - 1, Rutskiy I. ⚽,
23', Jonathan J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Zhulpa D. ⚽, Lisakovich V. (A),
29', 0 - 3, Pobudey V. ⚽, Lisakovich V. (A),
36', 0 - 4, Frantsuzov A. ⚽, Rutskiy I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Yakovlev V. ↓, Thioune S. ↑,
56', Adamovich K. 🟨,
60', Lebedev A. ↓, Seleznev I. ↑,
66', Frantsuzov A. ↓, Agbo G. ↑,
78', Bykov A. ↓, Martyanov G. ↑,
78', Bamba M. ↓, Chagovets Y. ↑,
88', Lisakovich V. ↓, Perovic N. ↑,
88', Rutskiy I. ↓, Melko V. ↑,
88', Chernyavskiy V. ↓, Matvey S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 0.
Naftan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Torpedo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Torpedo has had a series of home games.
In this match, Torpedo is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:43. (average 1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Naftan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:23. (average 0.6:2.1).
Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now
Zhodino: 0.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Zhodino
22
7
6
9
28:29
-1
27
16
Naftan
23
3
5
15
20:54
-34
14
Last Results with these Odds
Naftan - the odds 5.53 are the expected chance of winning is 16.79%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Kharitonovich A. (C) 
Jonathan J. 
Fedorenko D. 
Yakovlev V. 
Bamba M. 
Thioune S. 
Chagovets Y. 
Perovic N. 
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