The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Naga World 28.9%
Draw 26.6%
Phnom Penh Crown 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
26.2%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
24.6%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naga World has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Phnom Penh Crown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naga World than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phnom Penh Crown than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Naga World - Phnom Penh Crown Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Reth L. (G) 25. China 10. Kouch S. (C) 11. Lucas Venuto 20. Luquinha 75. Mateus Martins 9. Minagawa Y. 7. Nen S. 79. Sokha P. 8. Vann T. 45. Zogbe A.
22. Um V. (G) 6. Chhin V. 39. Choum P. 5. Feher R. 20. Koeut P. 70. Nieto A. (C) 2. Park Y. 9. Pryadun M. 17. Sa T. 11. Tellez M. 30. Wut T.
Substitutes
4. Chhong B. 16. Choeun N. 5. Hout V. 19. Im S. O. 6. It S. 24. Ky R. 27. Nat S. 29. Phoy P. 21. Ret K. 18. Thouth S. (G)
23. Bong S. 15. Choun C. 21. Hamisi M. 31. Houng C. 12. Phach S. 44. Pov P. 13. Samnang S. (G) 29. Yem D. 7. Yeu M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Wut T. 🟨,
34', Vann T. 🟨,
41', Pryadun M. 🟨,
45+2', Sokha P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sokha P. ↓, Ky R. ↑,
46', Vann T. ↓, Choeun N. ↑,
46', Nen S. ↓, Hout V. ↑,
59', Wut T. ↓, Bong S. ↑,
71', Choeun N. 🟨,
81', Park Y. 🟨,
84', Lucas Venuto ↓, Chhong B. ↑,
84', Ky R. ↓, Ret K. ↑,
87', Sa T. ↓, Pov P. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, China ⚽, Minagawa Y. (A),
90+7', Tellez M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naga World won 1.
Recent performances by Naga World have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Phnom Penh Crown is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Phnom Penh Crown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Phnom Penh Crown has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Naga World won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Naga World won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 1.3:2.4).