The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Phnom Penh Crown 23.8%
Draw 25.1%
Svay Rieng 51.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
22.9%
54.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
22.4%
56.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phnom Penh Crown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Svay Rieng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phnom Penh Crown than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Svay Rieng than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Svay Rieng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Phnom Penh Crown - Svay Rieng Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Um V. (G) 23. Bong S. 6. Chhin V. 10. Dyer M. 5. Feher R. 20. Koeut P. 16. Long P. 8. Orn C. (C) 2. Park Y. 9. Pryadun M. 17. Sa T.
27. Vireak D. (G) 4. Hammouti F. 16. Kim S. 11. Min R. 30. Nhean S. 61. Odawara T. 98. Patrick 46. Peprah K. 13. Sareth K. 21. Silveira C. 5. Soeuy V. (C)
Substitutes
1. Chiem S. (G) 39. Choum P. 15. Choun C. 21. Hamisi M. 31. Houng C. 70. Nieto A. 44. Pov P. 32. Ratana E. 29. Yem D. 7. Yeu M.
18. Aim S. (G) 22. Chantha C. 25. Chou S. 45. Narong K. 8. Ogawa Y. 42. Sang H. (G) 19. Seut B. 97. Shields C. 9. Sieng C. 35. Sophal D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
35', Orn C. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Patrick ⚽, Silveira C. (A),
43', Bong S. 🟨,
45', Bong S. ↓, Nieto A. ↑,
45', 0 - 2, Sareth K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Koeut P. 🟨,
54', Silveira C. 🟨,
56', Long P. 🟨,
57', 0 - 3, Nhean S. ⚽, Min R. (A),
59', Odawara T. ↓, Ogawa Y. ↑,
59', Silveira C. ↓, Shields C. ↑,
68', 0 - 4, Patrick ⚽, Ogawa Y. (A),
69', Orn C. ↓, Ratana E. ↑,
69', Chhin V. ↓, Yeu M. ↑,
75', Nhean S. ↓, Sieng C. ↑,
75', Min R. ↓, Seut B. ↑,
76', Dyer M. ↓, Yem D. ↑,
79', 1 - 4, Shields C. ⚽,
90+3', Peprah K. ↓, Narong K. ↑,
90+7', Kim S. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 4-1. Aggregate: 6-2. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phnom Penh Crown won 1.
Phnom Penh Crown is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Svay Rieng is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Svay Rieng is considered a favorite.
We predict that Svay Rieng will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phnom Penh Crown won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 38:38. (average 1.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Phnom Penh Crown won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.6:1.9).
Cambodia
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Um V. (G) 
Dyer M. 
Feher R. 
Park Y. 
Pryadun M. 
Hammouti F. 
Odawara T. 
Patrick 
Peprah K. 
Shields C. 
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