The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Svay Rieng 31.3%
Draw 26.8%
Phnom Penh Crown 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
23.6%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
23%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Svay Rieng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Svay Rieng's form might have worsened.
Phnom Penh Crown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phnom Penh Crown's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Svay Rieng than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Svay Rieng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phnom Penh Crown than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phnom Penh Crown, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Svay Rieng - Phnom Penh Crown Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Vireak D. (G) 13. Sareth K. 19. Seut B. 29. Soun S. 7. Prak Mony U. (C) 16. Kim S. 30. Nhean S. 35. Sophal D. 9. Sieng C. 21. Silveira C. 45. Narong K.
22. Um V. (G) 2. Park Y. 4. Ketting R. 5. Feher R. 39. Choum P. 8. Orn C. (C) 10. Dyer M. 32. Ratana E. 29. Yem D. 44. Pov P. 70. Nieto A.
Substitutes
18. Aim S. (G) 22. Chantha C. 4. Hammouti F. 8. Ogawa Y. 98. Patrick 46. Peprah K. 12. Poy V. 42. Sang H. (G) 5. Soeuy V. 14. Sovan D.
23. Bong S. 18. Brak T. 1. Chiem S. (G) 15. Choun C. 31. Houng C. 20. Koeut P. 16. Long P. 17. Sa T. 11. Tellez M. 7. Yeu M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Dyer M. ⚽, Nieto A. (A),
9', 0 - 2, Nieto A. ⚽, Dyer M. (A),
13', 1 - 2, Sareth K. ⚽, Nhean S. (A),
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Soun S. ↓, Peprah K. ↑,
58', Narong K. ↓, Patrick ↑,
58', Prak Mony U. ↓, Soeuy V. ↑,
61', 🟨,
63', Nieto A. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
65', Orn C. ↓, Sa T. ↑,
66', Yem D. ↓, Long P. ↑,
67', Sareth K. ↓, Hammouti F. ↑,
78', Pov P. ↓, Bong S. ↑,
80', Kim S. ↓, Sovan D. ↑,
Preview
Svay Rieng is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League 2
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svay Rieng won 4.
Svay Rieng is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Phnom Penh Crown has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Phnom Penh Crown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Svay Rieng will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Svay Rieng won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 39:36. (average 2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Svay Rieng won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.9:2.2).
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Vireak D. (G) 
Silveira C. 
Park Y. 
Ketting R. 
Feher R. 
Dyer M. 
Hammouti F. 
Peprah K. 
Tellez M. 
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