Match Info

Super League - Round 23

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Nairobi City Stars		Mwatate United

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.46	5.68
	1.53	3.3	5.75
	1.55	3.6	6.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	5.81 ↓ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi City Stars
58.3%

Draw
26.1%

Mwatate United
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

25.5%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24.6%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mwatate United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mwatate United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Nairobi City Stars - Mwatate United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Nairobi City is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Nairobi City	36	9	12	15	31:36	-5	39
20	Mwatate United	36	6	7	23	27:59	-32	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Super League
01.03.26	Nzoia United - Nairobi City Stars	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Nairobi City Stars - Fortune Sacco	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Nairobi City Stars - Naivas	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Nairobi City Stars - Kisumu All-Stars	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Gucha Stars - Nairobi City Stars	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTTT
- Mwatate United
Kenyan Super League
28.02.26	Mwatate United - Gucha Stars	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Kabati - Mwatate United	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mwatate United - Darajani Gogo	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Kisumu All-Stars - Mwatate United	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Soy United - Mwatate United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTTL

Nairobi City Stars - Mwatate United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide