Match Info

Super League - Round 19

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Nairobi City Stars		Naivas

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.61	3.25	Watch
	2.35	2.72	3.24
	2.33	2.57	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.32)	2.63 ↓ (2.9)	3.23 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi City Stars
37.7%

Draw
34.3%

Naivas
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

31.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Naivas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naivas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Nairobi City Stars - Naivas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Nairobi City (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nairobi City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Naivas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nairobi City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Naivas FC	36	17	9	10	45:27	18	60
14	Nairobi City	36	9	12	15	31:36	-5	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Super League
18.01.26	Nairobi City Stars - Kisumu All-Stars	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Gucha Stars - Nairobi City Stars	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Soy United	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Vihiga United - Nairobi City Stars	Nairobi City awarded ✺
12.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Equity Bank	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTT?W
- Naivas FC
Kenyan Super League
24.01.26	Kibera Black Stars - Naivas	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Naivas - Migori Youth	2:4 ✺
11.01.26	3K - Naivas	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Naivas - Talanta	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Naivas - Gucha Stars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLWWL

Nairobi City Stars - Naivas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide