Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Nairobi United		Kariobangi Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.62	3
	2.42	2.59	3.15
	2.53	2.87	2.86	Watch
	2.49	2.64	3.12
	2.45	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.53)	2.71 ↓ (2.87)	2.98 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi United
36.4%

Draw
33.3%

Kariobangi Sharks
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

31.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

31.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Kariobangi Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Nairobi United - Kariobangi Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Amollo F. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, ⚽,
42', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 4 - 1, ⚽,
67', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Nairobi United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kariobangi Sharks has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kariobangi Sharks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nairobi United - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.15%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League
04.11.25	Nairobi United - Bandari	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Nairobi United - Sofapaka	0:3 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
26.10.25	Étoile du Sahel - Nairobi United	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Nairobi United - Étoile du Sahel	2:0 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
11.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLLWW
- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
01.11.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Shabana	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Kariobangi Sharks - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL

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