Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Kakamega Homeboyz		Nairobi United

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.98	4.55
	1.81	2.9	4.43
	2.06	2.90	3.90	Watch
	1.85	2.92	4.65
	1.8	2.9	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)	2.92 ↓ (2.93)	4.46 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
48.6%

Draw
31%

Nairobi United
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

31%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Machaka E. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Machaka E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Nairobi United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Homeboyz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nairobi United has had a series of away games.

In this match, Homeboyz is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Homeboyz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
03.10.25	Sofapaka - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Mara Sugar - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Bidco United - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.05.25	Nairobi United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
27.04.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Sofapaka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWLT
- Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League
06.10.25	Bidco United - Nairobi United	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Mara Sugar - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.09.25	Nairobi United - NEC FC	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	NEC FC - Nairobi United	2:2 ✺
Kenyan Super Cup
14.09.25	Police FC - Nairobi United	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWTT?

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan FKF Cup
01.05.25	Nairobi United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0

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