Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Mathare United		Kariobangi Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.96	2.86	2.57
	2.89	2.79	2.61	Watch
	2.8	2.88	2.48
	2.83	2.9	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.82)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathare United
31.8%

Draw
32%

Kariobangi Sharks
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

31.4%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Kariobangi Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Kesa M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.

Kariobangi Sharks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Kariobangi Sharks - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.38%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
01.10.25	Tusker - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Kenya CB - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Mathare United - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Mathare United - Bandari	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWLTW
- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
30.09.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Bandari	0:0 ✺
15.05.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Kenya CB	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
15.03.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	3:1
12.01.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
25.04.23	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2
15.02.23	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	1:2
09.03.22	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	1:1
31.10.21	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	0:6
04.08.21	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	2:3

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