Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Thailand	18:00	AIS PLAY


	Nakhon Pathom United		Nongbua Pitchaya

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.30	2.00
	3.1	3.15	2.05
	3.28	3.27	2.1
	3.02	3.31	2.17	Watch
	3.05	3.2	2.03
	3.21	3.13	2.1
	3.15	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.93)	3.23 ↑ (3.19)	2.08 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Pathom United
28.8%

Draw
27.9%

Nongbua Pitchaya
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

28.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Pathom United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Nakhon Pathom United - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Kantanet P. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Elias ⚽,
17', 3 - 0, Prachayamongkol P. ⚽,
22', 3 - 1, Jittabud T. ⚽,
37', 3 - 2, Luan Costa ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 3 - 3, Caio Rodrigues ⚽,
85', 4 - 3, Rahmani M. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion - Thai League 2 Promotion - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Pathom United won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Nongbua Pitchaya is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Nakhon Pathom United has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nakhon Pathom United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Nong Bua Pitchaya	8	4	2	2	18:12	6	14
13	Nakhon Pathom	8	2	4	2	8:11	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Nongbua Pitchaya - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.49%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai League 2
14.10.26	Chanthaburi - Nakhon Pathom United	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Kasetsart - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Nakhon Pathom United - Kanchanaburi	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Phrae United - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTTT
- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 2
14.10.26	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangmai United	3:1 ✺
11.10.26	Chanthaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nongbua Pitchaya - PT Satun	4:3 ✺
16.09.26	Uttaradit Saksiam - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Muangthong United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
22.03.26	Nakhon Pathom United - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:1
03.12.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	1:0
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	1:0 penalties
Thai League 1
14.01.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1
24.08.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	2:1
Thai League 2
10.02.21	Nakhon Pathom United - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:0
29.02.20	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	2:2

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