Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Thalay Luang Stadium (Sukhothai)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 2


	Sukhothai		Nakhon Pathom United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.5
	1.9	3.79	3.8
	1.85	3.67	3.63	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.4
	1.81	3.64	3.68	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)	3.6 ↓ (3.71)	3.59 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sukhothai
49%

Draw
25.4%

Nakhon Pathom United
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

24.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

20.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Nakhon Pathom United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sukhothai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nakhon Pathom United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sukhothai - Nakhon Pathom United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sukhothai will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Nakhon Pathom United will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Saensuk K. (G) 2. Logarwit S. 15. Promsupa S. 93. Claudio 16. Phatthaphon P. 7. Thiamrat L. 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 35. Chatthong S. 91. Phranmaen T. 13. Beraheng A. 10. Baggio J.	39. Srathongjan W. (G) 4. Laohabut T. 65. Auksornsri T. 17. Ruengsamoot T. 31. Phumipha E. A. 6. Phupha J. 66. Chaolaokhwan S. 13. Ablorh L. (C) 22. Viriyachanchai P. 11. Valdo 7. Phutchan K.
Substitutes
8. Aranpiroj R. 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 30. Kaewnongdang K. 39. Kamnet N. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 11. Matheus Fornazari 5. Matsui H. 80. Rakbun T. 4. Seebunmee A. 3. Suksakit P. 23. Tisud C. 6. Wachpirom J.	28. Abu Khalil M. 59. Buathong W. (G) 3. Chuchai C. 5. Filipovic V. 10. Ito T. 55. Otton C. 76. Pitaksalee K. (G) 33. Sangrum A. 47. Sangtong A. 99. Tumsuwan S. 23. Wisetchat N.
Coaches
Chalitaporn A.	Yodyardthai S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Laohabut T. 🟨,
25', Logarwit S. 🟨,
36', Laohabut T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Phutchan K. ↓, Sangtong A. ↑,
46', Chatthong S. ↓, Wachpirom J. ↑,
46', Logarwit S. ↓, Matheus Fornazari ↑,
46', Valdo ↓, Ito T. ↑,
61', Phranmaen T. 🟨,
62', Phumipha E. A. ↓, Sangrum A. ↑,
64', Phranmaen T. ↓, Tisud C. ↑,
72', Chaolaokhwan S. ↓, Otton C. ↑,
78', Beraheng A. ↓, Rakbun T. ↑,
86', Thiamrat L. ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
90+1', Srathongjan W. 🟨,
90+6', Auksornsri T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

Recent matches Sukhothai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakhon Pathom United is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sukhothai is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sukhothai won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sukhothai won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
09.02.25	Lamphun Warriors - Sukhothai	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Sukhothai - Muangthong United	1:3 ✺
Thai FA Cup
29.01.25	Sukhothai - Muang Loei United	4:0 ✺
Thai League 1
26.01.25	Uthai Thani - Sukhothai	3:0 ✺
20.01.25	Sukhothai - Thai Port	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLW
- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai League 1
09.02.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Khonkaen United	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Chiangrai United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:0 ✺
Thai FA Cup
29.01.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United	0:4 ✺
Thai League 1
26.01.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Buriram United	1:3 ✺
20.01.25	Bangkok United - Nakhon Pathom United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
28.09.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Sukhothai	0:1
07.04.24	Sukhothai - Nakhon Pathom United	3:1
05.11.23	Nakhon Pathom United - Sukhothai	2:2
Thai League 2
19.03.22	Nakhon Pathom United - Sukhothai	1:0
07.11.21	Sukhothai - Nakhon Pathom United	2:1

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