Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 16

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: PAT Stadium (Bangkok)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Thai Port		Sukhothai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.35	6.1	Watch
	1.37	4.86	6.6	Watch
	1.33	4.5	6.5
	1.42	4.45	7.19	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	4.53 ↓ (4.82)	6.58 ↓ (6.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thai Port
66.1%

Draw
20.1%

Sukhothai
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

18.3%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-1%)

Thai Port - Sukhothai Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Port (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Port (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Falkesgaard M. (G) 4. Bureerat S. 36. Akkratum P. 22. Sulaka R. 3. Mangkualam A. 33. Shimura N. 27. Lucas Tocantins 44. Kanitsribampen W. 8. Kesarat T. (C) 12. Kaka Mendes 14. Poeiphimai T.	99. Saensuk K. (G) 19. Phatthaphon P. 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. 93. Claudio 35. Chatthong S. 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 5. Romeu 11. Gildo 70. Mateusinho 10. Baggio J.
Substitutes
23. Boutsingkham H. 17. Fandi I. 40. Kemmueang R. 35. Konglarp S. (G) 7. Leonardo Kalil 13. Lins M. 18. Perea B. 10. Phala B. 38. Phosri N. 9. Stephen Berg A. 21. Tiatrakul S. 16. Wongchai C.	8. Aranpiroj R. 95. Barreto 21. Denman A. 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 20. Jandke N. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 29. Khamphaeng P. 2. Logarwit S. 25. Otton C. 9. Paredes J. 7. Thiamrat L.
Coaches
Gama A.	Chalitaporn A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Kaka Mendes ⚽, Poeiphimai T. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Shimura N. ⚽, Poeiphimai T. (A),
19', Lucas Tocantins 🟨,
21', 3 - 0, Poeiphimai T. ⚽, Kaka Mendes (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Chatthong S. ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
54', Lucas Tocantins ↓, Phala B. ↑,
63', Mateusinho ↓, Jansuwan P. ↑,
64', Gildo ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
72', Kesarat T. ↓, Tiatrakul S. ↑,
72', Kanitsribampen W. ↓, Stephen Berg A. ↑,
73', Poeiphimai T. ↓, Perea B. ↑,
82', Mhuaddarak T. ↓, Barreto ↑,
85', 4 - 0, Perea B. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Kaka Mendes ↓, Leonardo Kalil ↑,
88', Romeu 🟨,
90+1', Romeu ↓, Khamphaeng P. ↑,
90+6', 5 - 0, Leonardo Kalil (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port won 2.

Port is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sukhothai has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Port is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Port will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Port won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Port won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Port MTI FC	3	2	0	1	5:4	1	6
12	Sukhothai	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thai Port FC
Thai League Cup
28.12.25	Chainat - Thai Port	0:5 ✺
Thai FA Cup
21.12.25	Thai Port - Bangkok United	2:0 ✺
Thai League 1
14.12.25	Buriram United - Thai Port	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Thai Port - Uthai Thani	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	Prachuap - Thai Port	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- Sukhothai FC
Thai League Cup
28.12.25	MOF Customs United - Sukhothai	2:3 ✺
Thai League 1
24.12.25	Sukhothai - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
20.12.25	Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0 ✺
Thai League 1
13.12.25	Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Ratchaburi - Sukhothai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
24.08.25	Sukhothai - Thai Port	1:0
20.01.25	Sukhothai - Thai Port	3:2
27.08.24	Thai Port - Sukhothai	4:1
02.04.24	Thai Port - Sukhothai	1:0
27.10.23	Sukhothai - Thai Port	2:1
19.03.23	Thai Port - Sukhothai	2:0
23.10.22	Sukhothai - Thai Port	1:3

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