Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ayutthaya Province Stadium (Ayutthaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Ayutthaya United		Sukhothai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.3
	1.95	3.45	3.2
	2.02	3.76	3.54
	1.12	5.95	25.00	Watch
	1.94	3.48	3.38	Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 (1.81)	3.93 ↑ (3.79)	6.95 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayutthaya United
58.2%

Draw
26.7%

Sukhothai
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayutthaya United's performance.

Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sukhothai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayutthaya United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sukhothai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Ayutthaya United (1.95) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayutthaya United (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Makemusik W. (C) 16. Kamkla B. 14. Yaidee K. 2. Hwang Hyun-Soo 9. Conrado 36. Islame Y. 62. Doloh A. 8. Worasut N. 10. Diego Carioca 77. Caique Lemes 22. Pombuppha C.	99. Saensuk K. (G) 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. (C) 93. Claudio 25. Otton C. 8. Aranpiroj R. 5. Romeu 21. Denman A. 10. Baggio J. 35. Chatthong S. 9. Elias
Substitutes
23. Biaothungoi P. 7. Bunsan K. 5. Changthong A. 57. De Bruycker D. 29. Dechmitr S. 19. Kaewcharoen N. 37. Kasemkulwirai P. 17. Laptrakul C. 31. Noichernphan A. 39. Pisansub S. (G) 26. Sataporn W. 3. Sawatlakhorn W.	14. Ishimoto E. 20. Jandke N. 39. Jantrapho A. 23. Kamnet N. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 2. Logarwit S. 70. Mateusinho 17. Mhuaddarak T. 19. Phatthaphon P. 91. Phranmaen T. 28. Samerjai T. (G) 3. Suksakit P.
Coaches
Tulwattanangkul A.	Chalitaporn A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Otton C. 🟨,
16', Thumporn T. 🟨,
21', Caique Lemes 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Conrado ⚽, Pombuppha C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Yaidee K. 🟨,
64', Aranpiroj R. ↓, Mhuaddarak T. ↑,
65', Chatthong S. ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
65', Yaidee K. ↓, Biaothungoi P. ↑,
71', Diego Carioca ↓, Laptrakul C. ↑,
83', Denman A. ↓, Phranmaen T. ↑,
86', Worasut N. ↓, De Bruycker D. ↑,
86', Pombuppha C. ↓, Kaewcharoen N. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Romeu ⚽, Elias (A),
90+6', Otton C. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
90+6', Thumporn T. ↓, Kanlayanabandit S. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ayutthaya United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1
27.09.25	Ayutthaya United - Buriram United	1:4 ✺
21.09.25	Rayong FC - Ayutthaya United	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Ayutthaya United - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Uthai Thani - Ayutthaya United	1:4 ✺
23.08.25	Ayutthaya United - Muangthong United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LTTWT
- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
26.09.25	Sukhothai - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Uthai Thani - Sukhothai	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sukhothai - Lamphun Warriors	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Prachuap - Sukhothai	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Sukhothai - Thai Port	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
30.04.22	Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai	1:2
05.09.21	Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United	5:0

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