Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: 80th Birthday Stadium (Nakhon Ratchasima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 2


	Nakhon Ratchasima		Nongbua Pitchaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.33	3.35	2.65	Watch
	2.42	3.5	2.87
	2.29	3.42	2.78	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.75
	2.29	3.34	2.68	Watch
	2.33	3.35	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.08)	3.38 ↑ (3.28)	2.73 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Ratchasima
39.6%

Draw
27%

Nongbua Pitchaya
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nongbua Pitchaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nakhon Ratchasima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nongbua Pitchaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nakhon Ratchasima - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Noorach T. (G) 16. Sanjairag A. 29. Ansell N. 37. Sayriya N. 92. Paibulkijcharoen T. 7. Houla G. 30. Biesamrit N. 21. Jaroenbut N. 22. Mungdee A. 23. Dennis 10. Deyvison	15. Jamsuwan K. (G) 17. Songma J. 27. Marom W. 46. Jorge Felipe 3. Palachom T. 6. Samansin W. 7. Lukthong N. 8. Park Jong-Woo 30. Sriwichai W. 11. Conrado 23. Haber M.
Substitutes
48. Bangsungnoen R. 6. Jong-Cheon L. 17. Khamphaeng P. 4. Kunmee S. 5. Nuengprakaew W. 24. Perm P. 47. Phetnok N. 31. Phonsawang P. 44. Phonsawang P. 33. Plodkeaw T. 1. Prathumma P. (G) 19. Romphopak S.	99. Capistrano J. 82. Chirachin C. 9. Eisa A. 29. Fomthaisong A. 88. Hantes A. 18. Jujeen A. 26. Sathaporn W. 16. Songma J. 20. Tanee W. 25. Waenlor A. 83. Yen-Arrom S. (G)
Coaches
Po-On T.	Yothee S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Palachom T. 🟨,
6', Houla G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Biesamrit N. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Houla G. ⚽,
60', Samansin W. ↓, Songma J. ↑,
60', Haber M. ↓, Eisa A. ↑,
65', Lukthong N. 🟨,
68', Dennis 🟨,
71', Noorach T. 🟨,
73', Jaroenbut N. ↓, Kunmee S. ↑,
75', Dennis ↓, Khamphaeng P. ↑,
83', Palachom T. ↓, Sathaporn W. ↑,
84', Kunmee S. 🟨,
89', Mungdee A. ↓, Jong-Cheon L. ↑,
90', Sriwichai W. ↓, Jujeen A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Khamphaeng P. ⚽, Deyvison (A),
90+7', 2 - 1, Conrado ⚽, Sathaporn W. (A),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nakhon Ratchasima won 3.

Recent matches Nakhon Ratchasima is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nongbua Pitchaya is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nakhon Ratchasima won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Ratchasima won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thai League 1
21.09.24	Ratchaburi - Nakhon Ratchasima	4:0 ✺
14.09.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Bangkok United	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Rayong FC - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:1 ✺
28.08.24	Uthai Thani - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Lamphun Warriors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTTT
- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 1
21.09.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Uthai Thani	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Pathum United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Muangthong United	0:0 ✺
27.08.24	Lamphun Warriors - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:3 ✺
24.08.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
20.04.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0
23.12.23	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:3
Thai League 1
11.02.23	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:1
10.09.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1
04.05.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:4
03.09.21	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:0

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