Match Info

League Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pitchaya Stadium (Nong Bua Lam Phu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 2


	Nongbua Pitchaya		Uthai Thani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	3.31	3.54	2.04
	3.16	3.58	2.03	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	3.16	3.37	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.4)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	2.22 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nongbua Pitchaya
31.4%

Draw
27.3%

Uthai Thani
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.1%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nongbua Pitchaya's form might have worsened.

Uthai Thani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uthai Thani's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nongbua Pitchaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uthai Thani than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Uthai Thani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nongbua Pitchaya - Uthai Thani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Goonchorn P. (G) 23. Haber M. 88. Harntes A. 46. Jorge Felipe (C) 2. Lyngbo S. 14. Phochai T. 6. Posri S. 21. Rontini C. 69. Seekaewnit P. 30. Sriwichai W. 20. Tanee W.	18. Wongsajaem B. (G) 32. Agudelo J. 16. Baas J. 27. Beresford J. 14. Darbellay D. 6. Kyaw S. M. 17. Laptrakul C. 19. Playnum W. (C) 21. Tann Sirimongkol 36. Thu A. 33. Tiago Alves
Substitutes
11. Conrado 29. Fomthaisong A. 19. Judivan 18. Jujeen A. 7. Lukthong N. 27. Marom W. 3. Palachom T. 8. Park Jong-Woo 26. Sathaporn W. 16. Songma J. 25. Waenlor A. 83. Yen-Arrom S. (G)	94. Boonmalert P. 3. Charalampous C. 10. Davis B. 99. Duronjic B. 49. Kaewwichien P. 2. Phonyiam N. 11. Ricardo Santos 30. Sawatlakhorn W. 25. Schwabe J. 77. Smart D. 26. Suklom K. (G) 1. Waiyawut T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tanee W. ↓, Waenlor A. ↑,
46', Posri S. ↓, Judivan ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Judivan ⚽,
76', Seekaewnit P. ↓, Lukthong N. ↑,
82', Sriwichai W. ↓, Songma J. ↑,
85', 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nongbua Pitchaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nongbua Pitchaya won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Nongbua Pitchaya won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Uthai Thani - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.72%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 1
04.04.25	Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Sukhothai	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Khonkaen United - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	4:0 ✺
01.03.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLT
- Uthai Thani
Thai League 1
13.04.25	Muangthong United - Uthai Thani	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Thai Port - Uthai Thani	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Uthai Thani - Pathum United	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Uthai Thani	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Uthai Thani - Prachuap	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
10.02.25	Uthai Thani - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0
21.09.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Uthai Thani	3:2
Thai League Cup
09.02.22	Uthai Thani - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:0 ET
Thai League 2
28.02.21	Uthai Thani - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:0
03.10.20	Nongbua Pitchaya - Uthai Thani	1:0

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