The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nongbua Pitchaya 58.6%
Draw 22.7%
Mahasarakham 18.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.3%
24.4%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.1%
23.6%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Mahasarakham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Nongbua Pitchaya - Mahasarakham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Saenseekhammuan A. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 0, Lima L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 3 - 0, Songma J. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Thai League 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 17th in the Relegation).
Nongbua Pitchaya has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Mahasarakham has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Mahasarakham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Nongbua Pitchaya is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Nongbua Pitchaya has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nongbua Pitchaya against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.