Match Info

Date: 28 July 2021, Wednesday


	Nanjing City		Guizhou

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	2.45	2.9	2.85
	1.61	3.3	5.4
	1.7	3.77	4.84
	1.7	3	5.25
	1.68	3.36	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.76)	3.32 ↑ (3.08)	4.87 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
52.6%

Draw
28.2%

Guizhou
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

30.3%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

22%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.

Guizhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guizhou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guizhou than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guizhou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nanjing City - Guizhou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
23.07.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
17.07.21	Nanjing City - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
12.07.21	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
09.06.21	Nanjing City - Beijing Sport University	0:0 ✺
05.06.21	Kunshan - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLTT
- Guizhou FC
Chinese Jia League
22.07.21	Guizhou - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0 ✺
18.07.21	Guizhou - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	3:1 ✺
13.07.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Guizhou	1:0 ✺
10.06.21	Guizhou - Beijing Institute of Technology	3:1 ✺
04.06.21	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guizhou	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLWT

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