Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 21 November 2022, Monday


	Shaanxi Changan Athletic		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.78	3.3	4.2
	1.71	3.4	4.3
	1.75	3.59	4.81
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.69	3.68	4.6
	1.72	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.97)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	4.45 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaanxi Changan Athletic
53%

Draw
26.5%

Nanjing City
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaanxi Changan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shaanxi Changan Athletic's performance.

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nanjing City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Changan Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.4%	7.7%	26.9%

Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Nanjing City Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Shaanxi Changan will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Nanjing City will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shaanxi Changan: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Nanjing City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shaanxi Chang'an is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shaanxi Chang'an won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Shaanxi Chang'an won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaanxi Changan Athletic
Chinese Jia League
12.11.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:2 ✺
09.11.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:1 ✺
01.11.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
27.10.22	Nanjing City - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWW
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese FA Cup
18.11.22	Nanjing City - Shanghai Port	0:5 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.11.22	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
08.11.22	Ningbo Professional - Nanjing City	0:5 ✺
04.11.22	Nanjing City - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:2 ✺
31.10.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
27.10.22	Nanjing City - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	2:3
02.08.21	Nanjing City - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:2
12.07.21	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Nanjing City	2:0

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