Match Info

Yi League - Round 9

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Haimen Sports Center Stadium (Nantong)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Nantong Haimen Codion		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.65	2.95
	2.85	2.85	2.5
	2.94	2.92	2.48
	2.76	2.98	2.57	Watch
	2.77	2.96	2.43
	2.85	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.15)	2.87 ↓ (3.12)	2.57 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Haimen Codion
32.9%

Draw
31.7%

Jiangxi Lushan
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Haimen Codion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jiangxi Lushan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantong Haimen Codion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiangxi Lushan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nantong Haimen Codion - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Liang Zhenfu (G) 42. Tan Jingbo 11. Pei Guoguang 9. Yan Ge 17. Bai Xianyi 46. Xu Kunxing 22. Xu Yuese 43. Yang Mingtao 58. Hu Yubo 59. Dai Yuanji 55. Chen Weijing	12. Li Chen (G) 6. Xu Yougang 4. Zhu Mingxin 36. Hu Jiali 3. Wang Hongbin 10. Abdusalam S. 14. Chen Yunhua 7. Sun Yue 15. Xu Lei 60. Qurban W. 44. Abdukerim Qaharman
Substitutes
53. Cheng Yi 41. Ding Jianhua 57. Fan Yucheng 7. Jin Hang 47. Li Hanlin 26. Ren Shizhe 56. Sun Qinan 50. Wang Yubo 48. Wu Yucheng 60. Zhang Zixuan (G) 51. Zhou Xianfeng 49. Zhou Zifan	22. Li Jiahao 20. Liu G. 19. Luo Andong 18. Song Yi 16. Sun Yunlong 29. Tang Zhiheng 26. Wang J. 23. Xu Zhaoji 56. Yin Jun (G) 17. Zhang Xiao 47. Zhou Jingxiang
Coaches
Gao W.	Wang B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Pei Guoguang ⚽, Xu Yuese (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Sun Yue ↓, Zhang Xiao ↑,
46', Wang Hongbin ↓, Li Jiahao ↑,
62', Chen Yunhua 🟨,
70', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Tang Zhiheng ↑,
70', Abdusalam S. ↓, Song Yi ↑,
73', Liang Zhenfu 🟨,
74', Tan Jingbo ↓, Zhou Xianfeng ↑,
74', Dai Yuanji ↓, Jin Hang ↑,
74', Pei Guoguang ↓, Cheng Yi ↑,
81', Hu Yubo ↓, Sun Qinan ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Tang Zhiheng ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Yan Ge ⚽,
89', Zhu Mingxin 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Xu Yougang (Own goal),
90+2', Xu Yuese ↓, Fan Yucheng ↑,
90+6', 4 - 1, Cheng Yi ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Haimen Codion
Chinese Yi League
07.05.25	Beijing Institute of Technology - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:3 ✺
03.05.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Shanghai Port B - Nantong Haimen Codion	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
Chinese Yi League
13.04.25	Hubei Istar - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLT
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League
07.05.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Jiangxi Lushan	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Taian Tiankuang	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Wuxi Wugou - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions	0:1 ✺
Chinese Yi League
13.04.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLT

Nantong Haimen Codion - Jiangxi Lushan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide