Match Info

Jia League - Round 5

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Nantong Zhiyun		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.7	3.25	1.91
	3.96	3.42	1.96
	4.02	3.43	1.91	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.05
	4.08	3.25	1.94	Watch
	3.7	3.25	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.4)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	1.96 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
24.9%

Draw
28.1%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.7%	92.3%

Nantong Zhiyun - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Nantong Zhiyun (3.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Nantong Zhiyun (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chongqing Tongliang Long will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chongqing Tongliang Long will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Chongqing (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Li Guanxi (G) 2. Xu Hui 5. Ma Sheng 15. Liu Wei 33. Li Haoran 11. Chen Binbin 25. Cao Kang 14. Liu Weicheng 37. Jia Boyan 9. Ukachukwu P. 39. Liu Ye	31. Wu Zitong (G) 5. Huang X. 4. Sadauskas R. 2. Wang Wenxuan 26. He Xiaoqiang 8. Li Zhenquan 38. Ruan Qilong 24. Liu Mingshi 40. Carrillo J. 27. Wu Yongqiang 7. Xiang Yuwang
Substitutes
8. Halimurat Kamiran 6. Hu Mingfei 10. Ivanovic I. 18. Jiang Zilei 13. Liao Lei 16. Lu Jin (G) 19. Nan Xiaoheng 22. Wang Jinshuai (G) 7. Ye Daochi 44. Yuye Zhang	30. Bai Yutao 14. Huang Xiyang 9. Leonardo 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Y. H. 20. Osmanjan Abduhelil 21. Song Pan 15. Tong Zhicheng 1. Yao Haoyang (G) 32. Yerzat Yerjet (G) 23. Zhang Haixuan (G) 3. Zhang Yingkai
Coaches
Shinoda Y.	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
24', 0 - 1, Xiang Yuwang ⚽, Wu Yongqiang (A),
30', 0 - 2, Carrillo J. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Jia Boyan ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Xiang Yuwang ⚽, He Xiaoqiang (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Liu Weicheng ↓, Palocevic A. ↑,
46', Liu Mingshi ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
54', Wang Wenxuan 🟨,
59', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Zhang Yingkai ↑,
67', Liu Ye ↓, Jiang Kaihua ↑,
67', Cao Kang ↓, Ivanovic I. ↑,
69', Ma Sheng ↓, Hu Mingfei ↑,
71', 1 - 4, Carrillo J. ⚽,
77', Jia Boyan ↓, Nan Xiaoheng ↑,
79', Carrillo J. 🟨,
83', Li Zhenquan 🟨,
88', 2 - 4, Ivanovic I. ⚽, Li Haoran (A),
90+2', Liu Wei 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent matches Nantong Zhiyun is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chongqing is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chongqing will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Wuxi Wugou - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Nanjing City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLW
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Shaanxi Northwest Youth - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Liaoning Tieren	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWT

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