The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nanjing City 21.6%
Draw 27.2%
Nantong Zhiyun 51.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
28.9%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
28.8%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nanjing City's form might have worsened.
Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantong Zhiyun's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nanjing City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantong Zhiyun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nanjing City - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Yang Chao (G) 22. Meng Zhen 2. Wang Xijie 15. Tayir Shewketjan 20. Liu Le 18. Dong Honglin 14. Qurban W. 8. Yang Dejiang 31. Zhu Qiwen 16. Yang He (C) 25. Bruno Baio
25. Li Guanxi (G) 21. Lucas Kal 6. Hu Mingfei (C) 4. Luo Xin 36. Dai Yuanji 26. Deng Yubiao 28. An Yifei 2. Xu Hui 10. Kalulu A. 14. Gonzalez E. 11. Ruan Yang
Substitutes
17. An Bang 29. Fu Shang 28. Han Q. 23. Hu Jinghang 19. Ma Fuyu 30. Wei Minghe 5. Wong W. 33. Xiang Rongjun 21. Xi Anjie (G) 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zhou Y.
40. Beshathan Zanhar 23. Dujardin R. 17. Ling Jie 15. Liu Wei 8. Liu Weicheng 19. Nan Xiaoheng 1. Nie Xuran (G) 5. Shen Chao 27. Wu Xingyu 7. Ye Daochi 22. Zhang Jingzhe 3. Zhou Zhiheng
Coaches
Zhang X.
Kim Dae-Eui
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
39', Dong Honglin 🟨,
44', Hu Mingfei 🟨,
44', Bruno Baio 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Dai Yuanji (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Dong Honglin ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Kalulu A. 🟨,
65', Yang Dejiang ↓, Zhai Zhaoyu ↑,
68', Hu Mingfei ↓, Wu Xingyu ↑,
68', Dai Yuanji ↓, Shen Chao ↑,
68', Ruan Yang ↓, Ling Jie ↑,
78', Bruno Baio ↓, Zhao Chengle ↑,
83', Zhu Qiwen ↓, Hu Jinghang ↑,
83', Liu Le ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
90+3', Kalulu A. ↓, Ye Daochi ↑,
90+3', Xu Hui ↓, Beshathan Zanhar ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 2.
Recent form of Nanjing City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nantong Zhiyun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Nantong Zhiyun will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Nanjing City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).