Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday


	Nantwich Town		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.55	3.2	2.32
	2.45	3.25	2.55
	2.36	3.5	2.76
	2.62	3.4	2.38
	2.43	3.24	2.68
	2.5	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.01)	3.3 ↑ (2.98)	2.53 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantwich Town
36.5%

Draw
27.5%

Ashton United
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

30.2%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

31.9%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantwich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantwich Town's performance.

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantwich Town than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantwich Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ashton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nantwich Town - Ashton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantwich won 1.

Nantwich has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ashton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ashton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ashton have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Nantwich won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantwich won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantwich Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.22	Nantwich Town - Liversedge	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Bamber Bridge - Nantwich Town	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Nantwich Town - Marine	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Nantwich Town - Warrington Rylands	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.22	Matlock Town - Nantwich Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.22	Radcliffe - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
18.10.22	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Ashton United - Stalybridge Celtic	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Ashton United - Dunston UTS	0:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
04.10.22	Ashton United - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
29.01.22	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	2:2
16.10.21	Ashton United - Nantwich Town	2:1
23.11.19	Ashton United - Nantwich Town	0:4
21.04.18	Ashton United - Nantwich Town	2:1
23.09.17	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	2:3
08.04.17	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	3:2
16.08.16	Ashton United - Nantwich Town	1:1

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