Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Radcliffe		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.6	6
	1.36	4.75	6.5
	1.4	5.31	5.64
	1.4	5.31	5.64
	1.36	4.33	6.5
	1.37	4.75	6.39
	1.36	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	4.83 ↑ (4.5)	6.17 ↓ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
66.3%

Draw
18.9%

Ashton United
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

19.6%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Hulme J. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Hardy J. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Adams K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 3, Lowe N. ⚽,
76', 2 - 3, Hancock J. (Pen),
87', 2 - 4, Hardy J. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Radcliffe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ashton have a series of home games.

In this match Radcliffe is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Radcliffe to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Radcliffe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
19.03.24	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Stafford Rangers - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Guiseley - Radcliffe	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Ilkeston - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Radcliffe - Marine	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
16.03.24	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Ashton United - Worksop Town	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Ashton United - Lancaster City	5:0 ✺
17.02.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ashton United - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.10.23	Ashton United - Radcliffe	0:2
11.02.23	Ashton United - Radcliffe	1:2
22.10.22	Radcliffe - Ashton United	1:1
26.02.22	Radcliffe - Ashton United	0:2
09.11.21	Ashton United - Radcliffe	3:1
21.01.20	Radcliffe - Ashton United	1:1
30.11.19	Ashton United - Radcliffe	0:3

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