Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 42

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Nantwich Town		Radcliffe

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.25	2.15
	3.17	3.46	2.12
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	3.16	3.28	2.15
	3	3.3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.68)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	2.15 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantwich Town
30.5%

Draw
27.3%

Radcliffe
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

24.8%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantwich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantwich Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-2%)

Nantwich Town - Radcliffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches Nantwich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Radcliffe is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nantwich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Radcliffe have a series of home games.

Radcliffe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantwich won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantwich won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantwich Town
English NPL Premier Division
20.04.23	Marske United - Nantwich Town	2:2 ✺
10.04.23	Nantwich Town - Stafford Rangers	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	South Shields - Nantwich Town	3:2 ✺
01.04.23	Marine - Nantwich Town	0:3 ✺
25.03.23	Nantwich Town - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTLWL
- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
15.04.23	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
11.04.23	Radcliffe - Warrington Rylands	0:3 ✺
08.04.23	Liversedge - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
04.04.23	Radcliffe - Warrington Town	0:3 ✺
01.04.23	Radcliffe - Stafford Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.11.22	Radcliffe - Nantwich Town	1:2
11.12.21	Nantwich Town - Radcliffe	2:3
11.09.21	Radcliffe - Nantwich Town	3:1
07.03.20	Radcliffe - Nantwich Town	2:2
12.10.19	Nantwich Town - Radcliffe	0:1

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