Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Radcliffe		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.33	4.75
	1.47	4.5	5
	1.49	4.9	5.01
	1.5	4.9	5.01
	1.53	4.5	4.2
	1.44	4.45	5.4
	1.47	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	4.58 ↓ (4.85)	4.91 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
61.5%

Draw
19.9%

Gainsborough Trinity
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

18.7%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

18%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radcliffe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 2.

Radcliffe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gainsborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gainsborough have a series of home games.

In this match Radcliffe is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Radcliffe to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Radcliffe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
04.11.23	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	United of Manchester - Radcliffe	2:3 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Radcliffe - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Ashton United - Radcliffe	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Radcliffe - Ilkeston	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
04.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	2:3 ✺
14.10.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
15.04.23	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
26.11.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Radcliffe	2:2
22.01.22	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0
25.09.21	Gainsborough Trinity - Radcliffe	1:1
24.10.20	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1
03.03.20	Gainsborough Trinity - Radcliffe	4:1
18.01.20	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2

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