Match Info

SERBIA: SUPER LIGA - ROUND 6

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Mladost Kruševac (Napredak)

Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)


	Napredak Kruševac		Voždovac

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.05
	2.15	2.9	3.75
	2.15	2.75	3.6
	2.13	3.04	3.62	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.41)	2.92 ↓ (3.15)	3.54 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napredak Kruševac
42.9%

Draw
31.3%

Voždovac
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Voždovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Voždovac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Voždovac than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Voždovac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Napredak Kruševac - Voždovac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Savic V. (G) 25. Djekovic N. (C) 45. Marinkovic J. 15. Mrsic O. 2. Jovanovic S. 27. Ljubomirac U. 89. Bojovic M. 7. Vukajlovic N. 18. Babic S. 88. Jovanovic D. 33. Stoiljkovic D.	19. Katic A. (C) 11. Vujanovic N. 3. Damjanovic F. 18. Zecevic N. 33. Djuricic N. 6. Matic A. 7. Novevski V. 8. Jocic B. 16. Mitrovic M. 77. Neskovic M. 72. Burmaz B.
Substitutes
19. Bajic V. (G) 22. Bojovic M. 8. Jovic F. 14. Kotlajic D. 4. Krstic F. 20. Marinkovic N. 77. Nenadovic U. 17. Paradjina D. 9. Stanojlovic S. 10. Tomic B. 23. Zlicic L.	27. Antonijevic F. 22. Bjelica S. (G) 24. Blagojevic A. 42. Dragicevic M. 4. Kojic L. 20. Krpic M. 5. Lukic A. 17. Medic P. 23. Stoisavljevic D. 9. Teodorovic D. 10. Vastsuk B.
Coaches
Perisic D.	Savic M.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Napredak won 0.

Napredak is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Voždovac is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napredak will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Napredak won 1 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 13-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Napredak won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
27.08.23	Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac	1:3 ✺
20.08.23	Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Napredak Kruševac - Vojvodina	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Napredak Kruševac	4:0 ✺
30.07.23	Napredak Kruševac - Železničar Pančevo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTLL
- FK Voždovac
Serbian Superliga
26.08.23	Voždovac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	3:2 ✺
19.08.23	Železničar Pančevo - Voždovac	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Voždovac - Radnik Surdulica	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	IMT Novi Beograd - Voždovac	2:2 ✺
29.07.23	Voždovac - Javor Ivanjica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
29.10.22	Voždovac - Napredak Kruševac	0:0
17.07.22	Napredak Kruševac - Voždovac	0:0
27.04.22	Voždovac - Napredak Kruševac	3:0
19.03.22	Napredak Kruševac - Voždovac	1:3
15.10.21	Voždovac - Napredak Kruševac	0:0
08.05.21	Voždovac - Napredak Kruševac	4:2
04.12.20	Napredak Kruševac - Voždovac	3:1

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