Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Naprzód Jędrzejów		Busko-Zdrój

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.80	3.50
	1.72	3.65	3.65
	1.75	3.97	3.72	Watch
	1.7	3.6	3.5
	1.7	3.8	3.88	Watch
	1.79	3.68	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.02)	3.75 ↑ (3.41)	3.6 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naprzód Jędrzejów
51.5%

Draw
23.8%

Busko-Zdrój
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

25.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naprzód Jędrzejów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naprzód Jędrzejów's performance.

Busko-Zdrój has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Busko-Zdrój might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naprzód Jędrzejów than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naprzód Jędrzejów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busko-Zdrój than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Busko-Zdrój could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Naprzód Jędrzejów - Busko Zdrój Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Mamrol W. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Mamrol W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, Kaczowka K. ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, Siudak K. ⚽,
86', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 11th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bookmakers give the edge to Naprzód Jędrzejów for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Naprzód Jędrzejów has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Naprzod Jedrzejow	11	6	2	3	27:21	6	20
10	Busko-Zdroj	11	4	2	5	17:21	-4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naprzód Jędrzejów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.09.26	Czarni Połaniec - Naprzód Jędrzejów	2:5 ✺
12.09.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Hetman Zamość	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Naprzód Jędrzejów	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Wisła II Kraków	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWTTL
- AKS Busko-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Moravia Morawica	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Wiślanie Skawina	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Busko-Zdrój	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Star Starachowice - Busko-Zdrój	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.26	Busko-Zdrój - Naprzód Jędrzejów	0:3

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