Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nart Cherkessk		Dynamo Stavropol

	1	X	2
	4.40	3.62	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (2.77)	3.62 ↑ (2.94)	1.68 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nart Cherkessk
20.7%

Draw
25.1%

Dynamo Stavropol
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.6%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

31%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nart Cherkessk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nart Cherkessk's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Stavropol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Stavropol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nart Cherkessk than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nart Cherkessk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Stavropol than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Stavropol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nart Cherkessk - Dynamo Stavropol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Dzhumaev A. ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, Garaev R. (Own goal),
90', 1 - 2, Shilov D. ⚽,

Preview

Nart is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dynamo Stavropol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nart won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nart won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nart Cherkessk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
01.08.26	FC Sevastopol - Nart Cherkessk	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Nart Cherkessk - Kyzyltash	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Rubin Yalta - Nart Cherkessk	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Nart Cherkessk - Shakhtyor Taganrog	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Chayka 2 - Nart Cherkessk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTW
- FC Dynamo Stavropol
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
08.08.26	Dynamo Stavropol - Tyumen	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Dynamo Stavropol - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Zenit 2 - Dynamo Stavropol	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Dynamo Bryansk - Dynamo Stavropol	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Dynamo Stavropol - Zenit 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
22.11.25	Nart Cherkessk - Dynamo Stavropol	0:1
20.09.25	Dynamo Stavropol - Nart Cherkessk	2:1
15.08.25	Nart Cherkessk - Dynamo Stavropol	0:0
17.05.25	Dynamo Stavropol - Nart Cherkessk	1:0
10.08.24	Nart Cherkessk - Dynamo Stavropol	1:2

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