Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Markaziy Stadium (Qarshi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	DAZN Japan
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Nasaf Qarshi		Al-Wahda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.85	3.7	1.82
	2.34	3.33	2.80	Watch
	3.99	3.81	1.87	Watch
	3.85	3.88	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.34)	3.68 ↑ (3.33)	2.08 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nasaf Qarshi
27.5%

Draw
26.2%

Al-Wahda
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

28.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nasaf Qarshi's form might have worsened.

Al-Wahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Wahda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nasaf Qarshi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Wahda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nasaf Qarshi - Al Wahda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Wahda will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Wahda: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Al-Wahda (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Wahda will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Nematov A. (G) 8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 5. Gaybullaev G. 2. Davronov A. 34. Nasrullaev S. 14. Mukhitdinov S. 19. Colovic S. 24. Bakhromov S. 10. Ceran D. (C) 7. Shala A. 18. Norchaev K.	1. Al Shamsi M. (C) 5. Zouhir A. 3. Pimenta Peres Lopes L. 30. Ogbu F. I. 19. Amaral R. 25. Jadsom 6. Ghorbani M. 11. Kruspzky F. 22. Folha B. 94. Diarra B. 10. Tadic D.
Substitutes
55. Abdunazarov D. 77. Bozorov O. 22. Golban I. 33. Halilov B. 28. Mukhammadiev S. 82. Numonov A. (G) 17. Nurulloev S. 20. Otubanjo Y. 1. Vorobey O. (G)	60. Abaelaziz B. 80. Abdullah A. 36. Ahmed Z. (G) 68. Ali M. 26. Ammar H. (G) 7. Caio Canedo 15. Dehghan M. 32. Guga 88. Lazovic D. 2. Mansour S. 8. Mohammed A. 38. Pradas A.
Coaches
Berdiev R.	Morais J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Bakhromov S. ⚽, Abdirakhmatov Z. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Gaybullaev G. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Ogbu F. I. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
60', Folha B. ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
66', Gaybullaev G. ↓, Golban I. ↑,
66', Shala A. ↓, Bozorov O. ↑,
67', Ceran D. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
71', Colovic S. 🟨,
76', Colovic S. ↓, Nurulloev S. ↑,
77', Diarra B. 🟨,
77', Abdirakhmatov Z. 🟨,
78', Jadsom 🟨,
83', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Abdunazarov D. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Caio Canedo ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent performances by Nasaf have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Wahda is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Nasaf has had a series of away games.

Al-Wahda might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League
30.10.25	Navbahor Namangan - Nasaf Qarshi	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	AGMK - Nasaf Qarshi	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Nasaf Qarshi	4:1 ✺
Uzbek League
16.10.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Kokand 1912	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Bunyodkor - Nasaf Qarshi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLWT
- Al-Wahda FC
UAE Football League
30.10.25	Al-Wahda - Al-Nasr	3:2 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
24.10.25	Al-Wahda - Al Dhafra	3:1 ET ✺
AFC Champions League
20.10.25	Al-Wahda - Al Duhail	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
17.10.25	Al Bataeh - Al-Wahda	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.09.25	Tractor Sazi - Al-Wahda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWT

Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Wahda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide