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Current Win Probability
Nasaf Qarshi 55.4%
Draw 24.7%
Dinamo Samarqand 20%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.3%
21.8%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
21.2%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nasaf Qarshi's form might have worsened.
Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Samarqand's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nasaf Qarshi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Samarqand, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nasaf Qarshi - Dinamo Samarqand Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nematov A. (G) 10. Abdikholikov B. 8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 6. Bakhromov S. 92. Eshmurodov U. 5. Gaybullaev G. 70. Gulomov A. 4. Komilov A. 14. Mukhitdinov S. 15. Rustamov O. 7. Shala A.
27. Nemanov E. (G) 37. Abdurakhmonov F. 8. Amonov A. 16. Dumbuya A. 30. Hajdarevic H. 20. Jumaboev J. 10. Khozhimirzaev A. 24. Khudoyberdiev A. 17. Mustafoev S. 2. Radayev A. 3. Stefan M.
Substitutes
27. Berdirahmonov Y. 2. Davronov A. 77. Ghudushauri P. 16. Murodboyev S. (G) 23. Murtazoyev D. 20. Otubanjo Y. 17. Rakhmatov M. 76. Sadullayev Z. 32. Xushvaqtov Q.
21. Abdusalomov J. 19. Avanesyan T. 71. Karimov S. (G) 44. Khaydarov A. 77. Oblakulov B. 25. Ormonjonov O. 26. Stanojevic M. 4. Tukhtasinov N. 15. Yuldashev R.
Coaches
Berdiev R.
Abramov V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 🟨,
61', Komilov A. ↓, Davronov A. ↑,
61', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
61', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Rakhmatov M. ↑,
62', Amonov A. ↓, Ormonjonov O. ↑,
62', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Avanesyan T. ↑,
62', Khudoyberdiev A. ↓, Yuldashev R. ↑,
64', Avanesyan T. 🟨,
71', Mukhitdinov S. ↓, Murtazoyev D. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Shala A. ⚽, Rustamov O. (A),
81', Shala A. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Ormonjonov O. ⚽, Yuldashev R. (A),
83', Gulomov A. ↓, Ghudushauri P. ↑,
88', Dumbuya A. ↓, Khaydarov A. ↑,
88', Khozhimirzaev A. ↓, Abdusalomov J. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Davronov A. ⚽, Murtazoyev D. (A),
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 6th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 1.
Nasaf has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Dinamo Samarqand has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Nasaf for this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Nasaf has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:9 (averaging 1.9:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nasaf against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:3 goals (averaging 1.6:0.4 per game).
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Nematov A. (G) 
Shala A. 
Dumbuya A. 
Hajdarevic H. 
Radayev A. 
Stefan M. 
Ghudushauri P. 
Otubanjo Y. 
Avanesyan T. 
Stanojevic M. 
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