Match Info

Super League - Round 7

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Markaziy Stadium (Qarshi)

Referee: Nazhafaliev A. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Futbol TV


	Nasaf Qarshi		Buxoro

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	5.3
	1.75	3.24	6.51
	1.66	3.1	6.22	Watch
	1.67	3.25	4.75
	1.76	3.36	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)	3.23 ↑ (2.83)	5.49 ↑ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nasaf Qarshi
54.6%

Draw
28.6%

Buxoro
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

32.4%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

31%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nasaf Qarshi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nasaf will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Buxoro will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muratbaev S. (G) 10. Abdikholikov B. 8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 6. Bakhromov S. 92. Eshmurodov U. 5. Gaybullaev G. 14. Mukhitdinov S. 17. Rakhmatov M. 15. Rustamov O. 7. Shala A. 32. Xushvaqtov Q.	12. Khamroev U. (G) 25. Esanov S. 2. Filipovic V. 97. Jurabekov S. 6. Khayrullaev R. 11. Mamasidikov T. 30. Mladjovic B. 7. Mukhtorov K. 78. Rodic V. 17. Ruziev J. 10. Ubaydullaev S.
Substitutes
55. Abdunazarov D. 27. Berdirahmonov Y. 33. Khalilov B. 4. Komilov A. 23. Murtazoyev D. 82. Numonov A. (G) 20. Otubanjo Y. 99. Sokari K. 80. Usmonov D.	1. Abdullaev S. (G) 4. Ahmadjonov N. 88. Begic D. 22. Joraboev A. 8. Juraev A. 9. Kacharava N. 77. Kayumov A. 5. Kulmatov S. 42. Todorov K.
Coaches
Berdiev R.	Khomyakov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Abdirakhmatov Z. ⚽,
66', Ruziev J. ↓, Juraev A. ↑,
66', Esanov S. ↓, Kacharava N. ↑,
73', Rodic V. ↓, Begic D. ↑,
73', Ubaydullaev S. ↓, Joraboev A. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Mamasidikov T. ⚽, Kacharava N. (A),
79', Eshmurodov U. 🟥,
84', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Abdunazarov D. ↑,
90', Juraev A. 🟨,
90+7', Gaybullaev G. 🟨,
90+7', Rakhmatov M. ↓, Usmonov D. ↑,
90+7', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Berdirahmonov Y. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 5.

Recent performances by Nasaf have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Buxoro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Nasaf is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:11. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nasaf won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nasaf Qarshi	22	9	7	6	33:21	12	34
7	Buxoro	22	10	4	8	32:29	3	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League
08.04.26	Kokand 1912 - Nasaf Qarshi	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Andijan	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
12.03.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Nasaf Qarshi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTW
- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
09.04.26	Buxoro - Qizilqum	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Surkhon Termez - Buxoro	3:1 ✺
19.03.26	Buxoro - Dinamo Samarqand	3:1 ✺
11.03.26	Buxoro - Xorazm Urganch	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Navbahor Namangan - Buxoro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
10.09.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	5:0
19.04.25	Buxoro - Nasaf Qarshi	1:3
10.08.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	1:0
Uzbek Cup
01.08.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	4:3
Uzbek League
17.03.23	Buxoro - Nasaf Qarshi	0:1
18.10.20	Buxoro - Nasaf Qarshi	0:0
26.06.20	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	0:0

Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide