Match Info

UZBEKISTAN: Super League - Round 26

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Markaziy Stadium (Qarshi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Uzsport TV


	Nasaf Qarshi		Metallurg Bekabad

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.66	3.35	5
	1.67	3.15	4.25
	1.7	3.46	5.18
	1.66	3.35	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	3.32 ↓ (3.63)	4.84 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nasaf Qarshi
54.1%

Draw
27.2%

Metallurg Bekabad
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Metallurg Bekabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Metallurg Bekabad aligns with the current prediction.

Nasaf Qarshi - Metallurg Bekabad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev U. (G) 10. Abdikholikov B. 19. Colovic S. 5. Gaybullaev G. 22. Golban I. 70. Jigauri J. 4. Komilov D. 32. Marusic Z. 7. Mozgovoy A. 34. Nasrullaev S. 9. Sidikov J.	35. Davronov R. (G) 2. Abdumazhidov O. 22. Gafurbekov S. 5. Kucherenko O. 31. Milickovic M. 4. Palic K. 15. Pirmuhammedov A. 11. Sharipov D. 8. Shaykulov I. 7. Sobirzhonov A. 9. Urinboev Z.
Substitutes
8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 79. Akhrorov A. 44. Akramov S. 77. Bozorov O. 21. Narzullaev D. 35. Nematov A. (G) 6. Rakhmatov M. 88. Stanojevic M. 3. Sultonmurodov S. 20. Victor	33. Josovic I. 77. Khayrullayev A. 24. Khoshimov D. 88. Kuziyev S. 25. Nematzhonov S. 87. Ortikov A. (G) 6. Sattorov K. 98. Sekulic B. 14. Toshkuziev A.
Coaches
Berdiev R.	Kurbanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 🟨,
40', Mozgovoy A. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Nasrullaev S. ⚽,
45+6', Colovic S. 🟨,
45+9', 1 - 1, Milickovic M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jigauri J. ↓, Victor ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Sharipov D. ⚽,
61', Marusic Z. ↓, Abdikholikov B. ↑,
61', Sidikov J. ↓, Mukhiddinov S. ↑,
74', Nasrullaev S. 🟨,
75', Komilov D. ↓, Golban I. ↑,
75', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Sultonmurodov S. ↑,
90', Davronov R. 🟨,
90', Shaykulov I. ↓, Kuziyev S. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasaf Qarshi
AFC Champions League 2
27.11.24	Nasaf Qarshi - Al Kuwait	1:2 ✺
Uzbek League
22.11.24	Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
06.11.24	Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hussein Irbid	1:2 ✺
Uzbek League
01.11.24	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Nasaf Qarshi	0:1 ✺
28.10.24	Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW
- Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbek League
24.11.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez	1:0 ✺
08.11.24	Bunyodkor - Metallurg Bekabad	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Metallurg Bekabad - AGMK	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Navbahor Namangan - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Andijan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
26.06.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Nasaf Qarshi	0:0
27.10.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Metallurg Bekabad	2:0
15.05.23	Metallurg Bekabad - Nasaf Qarshi	1:2
12.08.22	Metallurg Bekabad - Nasaf Qarshi	0:2
09.03.22	Nasaf Qarshi - Metallurg Bekabad	1:1
15.10.21	Nasaf Qarshi - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0
Uzbek Cup
19.08.21	Nasaf Qarshi - Metallurg Bekabad	5:2

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