The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neftchi Fargona 57.4%
Draw 27.1%
Nasaf Qarshi 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
24.2%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.5%
23.4%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 4. Ciger B. 23. Djokic J. 20. Gofurov A. 10. Iskanderov J. 7. Ismoilov A. 22. Odilov A. 18. Perica S. 77. Ratinho 34. Sayfiev F. 6. Yuldoshev I.
16. Muratbaev S. (G) 10. Abdikholikov B. 8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 55. Abdunazarov D. 6. Bakhromov S. 5. Gaybullaev G. 4. Komilov A. 17. Rakhmatov M. 15. Rustamov O. 7. Shala A. 32. Xushvaqtov Q.
Substitutes
30. Fomin R. 14. Giyosov K. 8. Jovovic V. 11. Jumaev A. 32. Marusic Z. 2. Pulatov I. . Tukhsanov D. 45. Turaev A. (G) 21. Ubaydullaev M.
27. Berdirahmonov Y. 33. Khalilov B. 14. Mukhitdinov S. 23. Murtazoyev D. 82. Numonov A. (G) 20. Otubanjo Y. 76. Sadullayev Z. 99. Sokari K. 80. Usmonov D.
Coaches
Ismoilov I.
Berdiev R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Djokic J. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Abdikholikov B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Yuldoshev I. 🟨,
61', Ismoilov A. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
61', Perica S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Iskanderov J. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Usmonov D. ↑,
69', Berdirahmonov Y. ↓, Mukhitdinov S. ↑,
74', Rakhmatov M. ↓, Berdirahmonov Y. ↑,
74', Odilov A. ↓, Jumaev A. ↑,
83', Iskanderov J. ↓, Giyosov K. ↑,
83', Ratinho ↓, Fomin R. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 2.
Neftchi Fargona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Nasaf has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Neftchi Fargona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
Uzbekistan
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Ergashev B. (G) 
Ciger B. 
Perica S. 
Ratinho 
Shala A. 
Jovovic V. 
Otubanjo Y. 
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