Match Info

UZBEKISTAN: Super League - Round 25

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Metallurg Stadium (Bekabad)

Referee: Risqullaev A. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Uzsport TV


	Metallurg Bekabad		Surkhon Termez

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.95	2.7
	2.44	3	2.8
	2.59	2.99	2.92
	2.52	2.97	2.82	Watch
	2.53	3.13	2.82
	2.44	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.11)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	2.81 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Bekabad
36.9%

Draw
30.5%

Surkhon Termez
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Bekabad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metallurg Bekabad's form might have worsened.

Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Surkhon Termez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Bekabad than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metallurg Bekabad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Surkhon Termez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Davronov R. (G) 2. Abdumazhidov O. 22. Gafurbekov S. 5. Kucherenko O. 31. Milickovic M. 25. Nematzhonov S. 4. Palic K. 15. Pirmuhammedov A. 11. Sharipov D. 8. Shaykulov I. 9. Urinboev Z.	1. Potapov A. (G) 17. Abdusalomov J. 11. Haydarov A. 27. Jumaev A. 22. Juraev J. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 4. Nematkhonov N. 10. Pletnev D. 66. Shaydulov B. 8. Sherbutaev K. 7. Tursunov D.
Substitutes
33. Josovic I. 77. Khayrullayev A. 24. Khoshimov D. 88. Kuziyev S. 87. Ortikov A. (G) 6. Sattorov K. 98. Sekulic B. 7. Sobirzhonov A. 14. Toshkuziev A.	14. Abduhamidov S. 19. Abdurakhmonov M. 77. Karimov A. 3. Khamidzhonov S. 23. Krimets Y. 15. Ramazonov D. 99. Saidazimov K. 6. Shamsiev B. 16. Yuldoshev D. (G)
Coaches
Kurbanov I.	Davletov F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Abdumazhidov O. 🟨,
30', Jumaev A. 🟨,
36', Jumaev A. ↓, Karimov A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nematzhonov S. ↓, Toshkuziev A. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Kucherenko O. ⚽, Palic K. (A),
67', Juraev J. ↓, Abdurakhmonov M. ↑,
67', Tursunov D. ↓, Khamidzhonov S. ↑,
79', Urinboev Z. ↓, Sobirzhonov A. ↑,
86', Shaykulov I. ↓, Sattorov K. ↑,
90+6', Milickovic M. ↓, Kuziyev S. ↑,
90+7', Palic K. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbek League
08.11.24	Bunyodkor - Metallurg Bekabad	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Metallurg Bekabad - AGMK	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Navbahor Namangan - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Andijan	0:0 ✺
27.09.24	Qizilqum - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLTL
- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
09.11.24	Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona	0:0 ✺
01.11.24	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Surkhon Termez	2:4 ✺
25.10.24	Surkhon Termez - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez	1:1 ✺
26.09.24	Dinamo Samarqand - Surkhon Termez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek Cup
04.07.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez	1:2 penalties
Uzbek League
19.06.24	Surkhon Termez - Metallurg Bekabad	2:1
04.11.23	Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez	0:1
20.05.23	Surkhon Termez - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0
18.08.22	Surkhon Termez - Metallurg Bekabad	1:2
16.03.22	Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez	0:0
07.08.21	Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez	0:1

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