Match Info

NPFL - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: NPFL 🌤️ ...


	Nasarawa United		Doma United

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.40	6.10
	1.51	3.64	6.5	Watch
	1.52	3.40	5.90
	1.46	4.10	5.55
	1.53	3.55	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)	3.62 ↑ (3.51)	6.05 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nasarawa United
60.1%

Draw
25%

Doma United
14.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.2%

26.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

26.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasarawa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Doma United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doma United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Nasarawa United - Doma United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Olughu C. (G) 6. Abdullahi A. 29. Dapma S. 5. Ebah H. 35. Istifanus J. 4. Nduka C. 37. Oche B. 27. Odinaka A. 25. Ogbodo K. 10. Samuel P. 17. Ugochukwu L.	36. Adayilo E. (G) 15. Abubakar A. 20. Collins S. 3. Gamagira S. 34. Idaiye D. 22. Mojeed A. 4. Philimon B. 18. Sadiq R. 16. Simon D. 29. Tijani A. 11. Ulunwa S.
Substitutes
8. Ada U. 11. Aluku S. 36. Ciroma W. 28. Dabani A. 34. Godwin A. (G) 15. Hassan M. 20. Onyemaechi A. 24. Victor Ekioke J. 39. Yakubu M.	9. Abah J. 40. Abutu H. 14. Adamu U. 30. Agu N. 28. Elemon C. 45. Lamido S. 23. Mohammed Z. 8. Omah J. 35. Tseka J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 15th and 3rd in the Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Nasarawa United carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nasarawa	9	4	2	3	10:8	2	14
8	Doma United	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasarawa United
Nigerian Premier League
04.10.26	Shooting Stars - Nasarawa United	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Nasarawa United - Niger Tornadoes	1:0 ✺
23.09.26	Kwara United - Nasarawa United	2:1
20.09.26	Nasarawa United - Rivers United	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Enugu Rangers - Nasarawa United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLTL
- Doma United
Nigerian Premier League
04.10.26	Doma United - Warri Wolves	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Katsina United - Doma United	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Doma United - Plateau United	2:2
20.09.26	Kano Pillars - Doma United	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Doma United - Enyimba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLW

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