Match Info

NPFL - Round 20

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Lafia Township Stadium (Lafia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Nasarawa United		Kano Pillars

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.72	4.55
	1.84	2.73	5.65	Watch
	1.95	2.6	4.4
	1.9	2.77	4.67
	1.7	2.6	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.74)	2.68 ↓ (3)	5.12 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nasarawa United
48.7%

Draw
33.7%

Kano Pillars
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

29.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

28.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasarawa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Kano Pillars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nasarawa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kano Pillars than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Nasarawa United - Kano Pillars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasarawa United won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Nasarawa United is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nasarawa United won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nasarawa United won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 0.9:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kano Pillars	7	2	5	0	11:7	4	11
14	Nasarawa	7	2	2	3	6:8	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasarawa United
Nigerian Premier League
28.12.25	Kano Pillars - Nasarawa United	3:0 ✺
23.12.25	Nasarawa United - Barau	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Plateau United - Nasarawa United	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Nasarawa United - Shooting Stars	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Nasarawa United - El-Kanemi Warriors	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTTWW
- Kano Pillars
Nigerian Premier League
28.12.25	Kano Pillars - Nasarawa United	3:0 ✺
03.12.25	Rivers United - Kano Pillars	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Kano Pillars - Ikorodu City	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Remo Stars - Kano Pillars	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Bendel Insurance - Kano Pillars	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
28.12.25	Kano Pillars - Nasarawa United	3:0
16.03.25	Kano Pillars - Nasarawa United	1:1
27.10.24	Nasarawa United - Kano Pillars	1:0
10.07.22	Nasarawa United - Kano Pillars	1:0
26.05.21	Kano Pillars - Nasarawa United	1:0
10.01.21	Nasarawa United - Kano Pillars	1:1
26.12.19	Nasarawa United - Kano Pillars	0:0

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