Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 16

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lafia Township Stadium (Lafia) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Nigeria	15:00	NPFL Live


	Nasarawa United		Lobi Stars

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	6
	1.5	3.47	5.98
				Watch
	1.5	3.6	6.45
	1.52	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.71)	3.57 ↑ (3.27)	6.11 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nasarawa United
59.9%

Draw
25.3%

Lobi Stars
14.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

27.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasarawa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nasarawa United's performance.

Lobi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nasarawa United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobi Stars than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Nasarawa United - Lobi Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galadima M. (G) 6. Abdullahi A. 27. Adegoke K. 36. Garba M. 3. Hussaini M. 40. Kumater S. 35. Manga M. 4. Nduka C. 17. Okonkwo C. 24. Onyema E. 31. Shimagande T.	12. Daniel E. (G) 16. Adebayo W. 33. Assurance I. 8. Atule J. 4. Ekioke J. V. 31. Kwambe S. (C) 2. Lazarus J. 21. Madu C. 37. Olorintoba S. 22. Onah P. 5. Yem R.
Substitutes
19. Adamu H. 23. Balogun K. 18. Garba A. 15. Hassan M. 1. Isaac J. (G) 38. Odeh U. 7. Osanga K. 25. Sabo G. 39. Ubebe S.	10. Chukwudi Oganbor S. 40. Farouk A. 11. Iorwuese T. 23. Japhet K. 6. Jimmy I. 29. Kabiru M. 24. Orysa J. (G) 7. Suur K. 26. Terna P.
Coaches
Dogo K.	Lonnstrom M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Adegoke K. ⚽,
43', Shimagande T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Sabo G. 🟨,
63', Onyema E. 🟨,
65', Yem R. ↓, Jimmy I. ↑,
65', Madu C. ↓, Suur K. ↑,
75', Atule J. ↓, Chukwudi Oganbor S. ↑,
84', Olorintoba S. ↓, Iorwuese T. ↑,
90', Kwambe S. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasarawa United
Nigerian Premier League
01.12.24	Heartland - Nasarawa United	3:2 ✺
27.11.24	Nasarawa United - Bendel Insurance	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Plateau United - Nasarawa United	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Akwa United - Nasarawa United	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Nasarawa United - Kwara United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- Lobi Stars
Nigerian Premier League
30.11.24	Lobi Stars - Kwara United	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Lobi Stars - Kano Pillars	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Lobi Stars - Abia Warriors	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Remo Stars - Lobi Stars	1:0 ✺
28.10.24	Lobi Stars - Bayelsa United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
01.05.22	Lobi Stars - Nasarawa United	2:1
16.01.22	Nasarawa United - Lobi Stars	2:1
21.07.21	Lobi Stars - Nasarawa United	3:2
07.03.21	Nasarawa United - Lobi Stars	1:0
26.01.20	Lobi Stars - Nasarawa United	2:1
13.08.17	Nasarawa United - Lobi Stars	1:0
18.05.16	Nasarawa United - Lobi Stars	2:1

Nasarawa United - Lobi Stars