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Current Win Probability
Heartland 62%
Draw 24.6%
Nasarawa United 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.6%
24.1%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
22%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heartland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Nasarawa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heartland than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heartland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Heartland - Nasarawa United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Godwin A. (G)
6. Abdullahi A.
27. Adegoke K.
24. Collins V.
3. Hussaini M.
40. Kumater S.
4. Nduka C.
17. Okonkwo C.
21. Onyema E.
25. Sabo G.
14. Yusuf A.
Substitutes
26. Akpor S.
22. Alakija H.
33. Awal A.
23. Balogun K.
12. Galadima M. (G)
18. Garba A.
36. Garba M.
35. Manga M.
7. Osanga K.
Coaches
. Dogo K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Anyanwu P. ⚽,
19', 🟨,
19', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Yusuf A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Anyanwu P. ↓, Agor C. ↑,
68', Ogu M. ↓, Obasi C. ↑,
70', 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Garba A. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Suraju L. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, Molokwu C. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Heartland won 1.
Recent matches Heartland is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nasarawa United is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Heartland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Heartland is certain favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Heartland won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.8:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Heartland won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 2.8:1.8).