Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 28

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Lafia Township Stadium (Lafia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Nasarawa United		Sunshine Stars

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.7	7.4
	1.44	3.55	7.81
	1.46	3.57	8.1
	1.42	3.54	8.9
	1.43	3.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	3.61 ↑ (3.53)	7.92 ↑ (7.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nasarawa United
63.3%

Draw
25.2%

Sunshine Stars
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

25.8%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

25.3%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasarawa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sunshine Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Stars than the current prediction. (+1%)

Nasarawa United - Sunshine Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ogundare D. (G) 1. Abbey B. 6. Abdullahi A. 9. Ajiya I. 36. Garba M. 15. Hassan M. 3. Hussaini M. 10. Ibrahim A. 40. Kumater S. 28. Utaka E. 14. Yusuf A.	22. Ishola A. (G) 11. Adebayo W. 25. Ahmadu L. 15. Chukwude S. 4. Edeh D. 9. Elmer A. 24. Iwundu C. (C) 31. Mayi S. 32. Nnaemeka A. 2. Ogechukwu O. 33. Olowoshile Y.
Substitutes
24. Adegoke Q. 22. Alakija H. 23. Balogun K. . Collins V. 20. Eneji Moses P. 12. Galadima M. (G) 18. Garba A. 2. Ibeh M. 11. Ulunwa S. C.	35. Adebayo A. 16. Anaekwe E. 1. Ariyo D. (G) 27. Ayodele I. 37. Chinadu N. 29. Elum H. C. 12. Erukusin J. 39. Matthew S. 30. Onwuasonaya U.
Coaches
Yusuf S.	Bala A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Ajiya I. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Ahmadu L. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nasarawa United won 1.

Nasarawa United is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Sunshine Stars is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sunshine Stars could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nasarawa United is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Nasarawa United won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nasarawa United won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasarawa United
Nigerian Premier League
02.03.25	Abia Warriors - Nasarawa United	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Nasarawa United - Remo Stars	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Bayelsa United - Nasarawa United	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Nasarawa United - Ikorodu City	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Nasarawa United - Niger Tornadoes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 TWTTW
- Sunshine Stars
Nigerian Premier League
01.03.25	Sunshine Stars - Kwara United	4:2 ✺
26.02.25	Enugu Rangers - Sunshine Stars	3:0 ✺
19.02.25	Sunshine Stars - Kano Pillars	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Sunshine Stars - Akwa United	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Abia Warriors - Sunshine Stars	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
20.10.24	Sunshine Stars - Nasarawa United	1:0
13.02.22	Nasarawa United - Sunshine Stars	1:1
25.07.21	Nasarawa United - Sunshine Stars	4:0
14.03.21	Sunshine Stars - Nasarawa United	0:0
08.12.19	Sunshine Stars - Nasarawa United	4:2
21.01.18	Nasarawa United - Sunshine Stars	2:0
16.07.17	Sunshine Stars - Nasarawa United	0:1

Nasarawa United - Sunshine Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide