Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Vatani Stadium (Qa'em Shahr)


	Nassaji Mazandaran		Mes Kerman

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.23	5.53	Watch
	1.59	3.25	6.19
	1.59	3.25	6.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)	3.24 ↓ (3.27)	5.97 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nassaji Mazandaran
56.6%

Draw
28.1%

Mes Kerman
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

28.3%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

26.5%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nassaji Mazandaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mes Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Kerman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League and 10).

Nassaji is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mes Kerman is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Nassaji is the team to beat.

We predict that Nassaji will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nassaji won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nassaji won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Division 1
13.10.25	Navad Urmia - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0 ✺
07.10.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Besat Kermanshah	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	SaiPa - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Niroye Zamini	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWWW
- Mes Kerman
Iran Division 1
13.10.25	Mes Kerman - Ario Eslamshahr	0:0 ✺
07.10.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Mes Kerman	1:0 ✺
30.09.25	Mes Kerman - Damash Gilan	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Mes Sungun - Mes Kerman	0:1 ✺
17.09.25	Mes Kerman - Besat Kermanshah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
14.02.23	Mes Kerman - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:1
05.09.22	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Kerman	2:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
19.04.22	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Kerman	1:0 ET
Iran Division 1
04.03.18	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Kerman	1:0
16.10.17	Mes Kerman - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:2

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