Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Vatani Stadium (Qa'em Shahr)


	Nassaji Mazandaran		Shahrdari Noshahr

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.50	9.84	Watch
	1.4	3.6	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.71)	3.55 ↑ (2.81)	9.17 ↑ (5.6)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nassaji Mazandaran
64.4%

Draw
25.7%

Shahrdari Noshahr
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

31.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

33.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nassaji Mazandaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nassaji Mazandaran's performance.

Shahrdari Noshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shahrdari Noshahr might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nassaji Mazandaran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahrdari Noshahr than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shahrdari Noshahr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nassaji Mazandaran - Shahrdari Noshahr Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nassaji (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League and 13).

Nassaji has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shahrdari Noshahr is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Nassaji is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nassaji won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Division 1
03.02.26	Sanat Naft - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Nassaji Mazandaran - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Palayesh Naft - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Ario Eslamshahr - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1 ✺
19.12.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Fard Alborz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWT
- Shahrdari Noshahr
Iran Division 1
02.02.26	Damash Gilan - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Shahrdari Noshahr - Besat Kermanshah	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Mes Sungun	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Niroye Zamini - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
17.09.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1

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