The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
National Defense 29.1%
Draw 23.3%
Angkor Tiger 47.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
23.5%
47.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
23%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
National Defense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The chances for Angkor Tiger have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for National Defense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angkor Tiger than the current prediction. (+1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mat L. (G) 99. Buth R. 50. Kataoka S. 24. Khorn N. 10. Kinoshita R. 31. Maeda R. 8. Mizuno H. 14. Murata S. (C) 23. Sreng S. 6. Taniguchi T. 4. Yang P.
22. Yi B. (G) 42. Chhenchen H. 7. Coulibaly A. 77. Han T. 4. Im V. 9. Kurita M. A. 14. Makara T. 8. Masutani T. 3. Matheus Freitas 17. Sofan S. 39. Yasuoka T. (C)
Substitutes
32. Chhun M. 9. Ekejiuba V. 11. Nat S. 77. Nho M. 27. Pich D. (G) 29. Sa U. 15. Suk V. 20. Tep F. 25. Thorng D. 2. Vinun O.
19. Chanvibol D. 27. Chenmakara N. 23. Koy N. 20. Ly S. 10. Mijland G. 26. Moth S. 6. Ny S. 73. Saron S. 1. Tin R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Masutani T. ⚽, Sofan S. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Masutani T. ⚽, Makara T. (A),
34', Chhenchen H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maeda R. ↓, Ekejiuba V. ↑,
46', Yang P. ↓, Suk V. ↑,
46', Buth R. ↓, Sa U. ↑,
46', Han T. ↓, Chenmakara N. ↑,
61', Chhenchen H. ↓, Ny S. ↑,
61', Coulibaly A. ↓, Ly S. ↑,
65', Kinoshita R. 🟨,
77', Sofan S. ↓, Moth S. ↑,
85', Khorn N. ↓, Nat S. ↑,
86', Kurita M. A. ↓, Chanvibol D. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Chanvibol D. ⚽, Ny S. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ CPL (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CPL (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, National Defense won 2.
National Defense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Angkor Tiger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Angkor Tiger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Angkor Tiger has had a series of home games.
Angkor Tiger is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, National Defense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, National Defense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).