Match Info

CPL - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: RCAF Old Stadium (Phnom Penh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cambodia	BTV New


	National Defense		Svay Rieng

	1	X	2
	11.14	6.42	1.16
	4.33	3.89	1.65	Watch
	11.8	5.9	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.09 ↑ (4.33)	5.4 ↑ (3.89)	1.33 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

National Defense
10.5%

Draw
17.7%

Svay Rieng
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

23.5%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

National Defense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that National Defense's form might have worsened.

Svay Rieng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Svay Rieng's recent form is better than expected.

National Defense - Svay Rieng Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Svay Rieng (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Svay Rieng (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Um S. (G) 50. Kataoka S. 10. Kinoshita R. 31. Maeda R. 14. Murata S. (C) 5. Soung S. 23. Sreng S. 15. Suk V. 6. Taniguchi T. 3. Vorn P. 4. Yang P.	27. Vireak D. (G) 16. Kim S. 11. Min R. 30. Nhean S. 61. Odawara T. 98. Patrick 46. Peprah K. 13. Sareth K. 21. Silveira C. 5. Soeuy V. (C) 35. Sophal D.
Substitutes
9. Ekejiuba V. 24. Khorn N. 19. Leang P. 7. Mao P. 1. Mat L. (G) 11. Nat S. 29. Sa U. 20. Tep F. 25. Thorng D. 2. Vinun O.	18. Aim S. (G) 93. Bin T. 17. Bounkong B. 22. Chantha C. 25. Chou S. 28. Fujii R. 45. Narong K. 8. Ogawa Y. 42. Sang H. (G) 9. Sieng C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
9', 0 - 1, Silveira C. ⚽, Odawara T. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Peprah K. ⚽,
15', 0 - 3, Min R. ⚽, Peprah K. (A),
35', 0 - 4, Nhean S. ⚽, Min R. (A),
40', 0 - 5, Silveira C. ⚽, Min R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nhean S. ↓, Sieng C. ↑,
46', Odawara T. ↓, Ogawa Y. ↑,
46', Sreng S. ↓, Sa U. ↑,
46', Suk V. ↓, Khorn N. ↑,
46', Um S. ↓, Mat L. ↑,
46', Maeda R. ↓, Ekejiuba V. ↑,
66', Min R. ↓, Bounkong B. ↑,
73', Silveira C. ↓, Chou S. ↑,
77', Vorn P. ↓, Leang P. ↑,
86', 1 - 5, Ekejiuba V. ⚽, Taniguchi T. (A),
86', Patrick ↓, Chantha C. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 6, Sa U. (Own goal),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ CPL (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CPL (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, National Defense won 0.

In recent matches, Svay Rieng has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Svay Rieng is the clear favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, National Defense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:33. (average 0.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, National Defense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- National Defense Ministry FC
Cambodian CPL
04.10.25	MOI Kompong Dewa - National Defense	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Life FC - National Defense	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Boeung Ket Angkor - National Defense	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	National Defense - Phnom Penh Crown	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Naga World - National Defense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWTTT
- Svay Rieng FC
Cambodian CPL
28.09.25	Svay Rieng - Phnom Penh Crown	2:3 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
25.09.25	Nam Định - Svay Rieng	2:1 ✺
Cambodian CPL
19.09.25	Svay Rieng - Life FC	6:1 ✺
14.09.25	Visakha - Svay Rieng	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Svay Rieng - Boeung Ket Angkor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Cambodian CPL
11.11.24	National Defense - Svay Rieng	0:0
11.08.24	Svay Rieng - National Defense	7:0
28.01.24	National Defense - Svay Rieng	0:1
05.11.23	Svay Rieng - National Defense	1:0
06.08.23	National Defense - Svay Rieng	0:2
01.10.22	National Defense - Svay Rieng	0:1
16.07.22	Svay Rieng - National Defense	1:1

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